8TB disks still looking solid, seem to be some of Seagate’s best

Cloud backup and storage provider Backblaze has published its latest batch of drive reliability data. The release covers failure information for the 67,642 disks that the company uses to store nearly 300PB of data.

This is actually fewer disks than the company had last quarter, even though the total capacity has gone up. That’s because Backblaze has been upgrading, replacing 2TB disks from HGST and Western Digital with new Seagate 8TB ones. While this upgrade offers size and energy savings, it’s only worthwhile if the failure rate is contained; any more than 2-3 times the failure rate and Backblaze says the migration won’t be worth it.

Annualized drive failure rates.
Enlarge /

Annualized drive failure rates.

Fortunately, the findings from last quarter appear to be holding true. The widely expected bathtub curve—high failure rates at the start and end of the drives’ lives, with a period of low failure rates in the middle—isn’t in evidence. The 8TB Seagate drives so far are showing an annualized failure rate of 1.6 percent; that’s identical to the (consistently reliable) 2TB disks from HGST and substantially better than the 8.2 percent seen from the WDC disks. With only a quarter of the number of drives required, this is a clear savings. Presuming things don’t take a turn for the worse, the move will mean greatly reduced failures even as the total storage capacity goes up.

This is in fact the best performance that the company has so far seen from Seagate disks. Backblaze has had a preference for Seagate drives due to their greater availability and affordability, even if they have had slightly worse reliability characteristics than their competitors. Right now, the 8TB units appear to be winners.

Of course, there are downsides that may discourage the use of these larger disks. In particular, arrays of such disks will take longer to rebuild; the longer an array takes to rebuild, the more likely it is that multiple failures will strike simultaneously. Backblaze’s system allows for three simultaneous failures, and one hopes that the company has done the math to ensure that this system provides sufficient protection even with the larger volumes.

via Ars Technica
8TB disks still looking solid, seem to be some of Seagate’s best

This Is the Best T-Rex Costume You’ve Ever Seen


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A Japanese company called On-Art Corporation wants to build a Jurassic Park-like attraction called “Dino-A-Park.” But instead of spending billions of dollars trying to bring extinct creatures back to life, the company has instead created some of the most life-like and realistic dinosaur costumes you’ve ever seen.

Recently revealed in Tokyo by the company’s CEO, Kazuya Kanemaru, the dinosaur costumes are made from carbon fiber and other lightweight materials so they only weigh about 84 pounds, requiring just a single person inside to make them stomp around. Because they’re so light, the performers inside the costumes are able to move quickly, making the dinos appear even more realistic—without the risk of them eating any of the park’s guests.

[YouTube via Reuters]

via Gizmodo
This Is the Best T-Rex Costume You’ve Ever Seen

Facebook opens analytics and FbStart to developers of Messenger’s 34,000 bots

Facebook has been putting a lot of effort into growing Messenger as a bot platform this year, and now there are 34,000 of them in existence, built to automatically give you news and entertainment, let you shop, and more, expanding Messenger’s use beyond simple chats with friends. Today, that strategy is getting a significant boost: Facebook says it will now make bots trackable on its free analytics platform, alongside analytics for ads and apps. And Facebook is also opening up its developer program, FbStart, to bot developers as well.

Both potentially give bot makers more reasons to build and monitor how their new widgets are working.

Josh Twist, a product manager for Facebook’s bots efforts in Messenger, tells me that Facebook expanded the analytics and FbStart tools after a lot of requests from the developers.

“Getting bot support for messenger is the most frequently requested feature,” he said. This shouldn’t be too much of a surprise: Facebook already provided these kinds of tools to other developers on its platform, and bots have seen a huge surge of interest, both from users interested in trying these out to see how they work and also developers keen to see if this is the next big thing.

Analytics, of course, is an essential tool for a developer, both to be able to track how well something is working and other kids of feedback. Here Facebook says that features that will be included are reaches across mobile and desktop devices and measurement of customers’ journeys across apps and websites.

Developers also will be able to view reports on messages sent, messages received, and people who block or unblock your app. And they will also get access to anonymized data reports on bot demographics, which include details like age, gender, education, interests, country and language to figure out who is using your bot.

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FbStart, meanwhile, currently has some 9,000 members who get feedback from Facebook on their apps, ads and bots, as well as Facebook ads credits and other free tools from partners like Amazon, Dropbox, and Stripe. If Facebook was looking at ways of swelling those ranks, tapping 34,000 developers could be one way of doing that.

Twist points out that while there are a lot of standalone bot developers coming to Facebook for the first time, there is a lot of crossover with other Facebook services like apps and ads. Those who are leveraging these together — for example using the recent ability to channel a person from a News Feed ad through to your Messenger experience — will be able to look at the effectiveness of those efforts now, and make potentially more ad buys based on them.

Twist tells me that for now, the analytics will cover bots built just for Messenger, although don’t be surprised if Facebook expands it to other platforms. “It is something we have talked about and haven’t ruled it out,” he said. “It’s possible, absolutely, since we already support analytics for other platforms for apps. But right now we’re prioritizing support for Messenger bots.

 

via TechCrunch
Facebook opens analytics and FbStart to developers of Messenger’s 34,000 bots

Ghost in the Shell (Trailer)

Ghost in the Shell (Trailer)

Link

Whether or not you agree with the casting of Scar-Jo in the role of Major Motoko Kusanagi, this trailer has us pretty excited about where the live action version of Masamune Shirow’s classic anime looks to be headed, with incredible visuals and thrilling action.

via The Awesomer
Ghost in the Shell (Trailer)

Why the next great SaaS company will look nothing like Salesforce

For years, a truism in software investing was that the value of application software lies in data, not in technology. Companies like Salesforce, Workday, and ServiceNow are valuable because they are the “system of record” (SoR), or single source of truth, for their customers’ most valuable information, such as customer records or employee data.

As a result, they become deeply embedded in their customers’ business processes, making them hard to rip out. That gives them tremendous revenue predictability and pricing power. The technology itself — databases combined with workflow engines — is not particularly innovative; it’s the information captured by the technology that’s important.

The newest crop of software applications turns this logic on its head. They mimic consumer companies by using technology as a “wedge” to gain widespread adoption and don’t even try to become systems of record.

Instead, they are “systems of engagement” (SoE), meaning apps that employees actually use to get their work done. For example, take Slack, which Forbes recently identified as the most valuable private cloud company.

The data in Slack is either low value (“water-cooler” conversations) or already lives in existing systems of record. The same is true for many other fast-growing apps, like Intercom (customer interaction), Clari (sales), Culture Amp (employee feedback) and Front (shared inbox).

messages-zzz1

Digging deeper, the specific areas of technology where these companies have innovated are ones that historically people have ignored — integration and design.

At big companies, integration is the ugly step-child of any product roadmap: everyone wants it to work, but no one wants to work on it. Here’s an example: a senior executive at a leading SaaS company tells me that twenty people from different groups across the company show up for the “billing meeting”, where it’s decided how billing will integrate with core features. But no one wants to work on the billing team, creating those integrations.

Startups have capitalized on that by creating high performance, scalable integrations, solving hard technical problems like how to sync without putting excessive load on the underlying system.

Entire companies, such as our portfolio company Okta, for single sign-on, or Segment, for analytics, are now built on integration alone.

Integration companies, while not glamorous, can build market power by positioning themselves at the center of an ecosystem and creating an “ecosystem network effect”, whereby they become a de facto standard. Okta and Segment are both on their way to achieving this.

But most new applications use integration to gather, organize, and analyze data. They win the hearts of their users through great design. That’s no small challenge, given growing data sets, shrinking screen sizes, and ever shorter attention spans, which is why the concept of design has become a huge differentiator.

It works because it’s a win-win. Startups creating systems of engagement get users and revenue, by leveraging data in the systems of record. They also increase the data’s value, by using it more and adding to it. That makes the big software vendors happy, as (they believe) it increases their customer lock-in and helps them become more of a platform.

api_integrations

What’s not clear is whether this will continue. Large companies like Salesforce want to innovate through technology. For example, the center-piece at this month’s Dreamforce, its annual conference, is a new artificial intelligence (AI) initiative marketed as “Einstein”, which layers predictive models over its existing applications.

Conversely, once a startup’s product is being used every day like Slack, it may start keeping more information within it and over time wean people off whatever they were using before (Outlook, Sharepoint, etc).

The game-changer could well be artificial intelligence: if AI software could extract signal from the unstructured product feedback in Intercom or the sales forecasting information in Clari, the data in those systems could become more valuable than the limited fields captured in today’s systems of record.

But that’s a long way off. For current startups, the message is clear. Don’t try to be Salesforce to Seibel, Workday to Peoplesoft or Coupa to Ariba. Those battles are over, and won’t be repeated. Instead, use technology — integration, design, perhaps machine learning or AI — as your wedge into the market.

Play nice with existing systems, and then analyze how people are using your product. Feed that back into new product development and drive more engagement, ideally creating a virtuous cycle between usage and design that keeps you ahead of competitors.

For examples of who does this well, look no further than the large consumer companies. It’s no coincidence that the two most awe-inspiring enterprise businesses today (AWS and Google Apps) both have a consumer heritage.

That’s the winning strategy for today, and most likely tomorrow.

Featured Image: Ismagilov/Shutterstock

via TechCrunch
Why the next great SaaS company will look nothing like Salesforce

The Cognitive Dissonance Cluster Bomb

Posted November 12th, 2016 @ 7:55am

Earlier this week CNN.com listed 24 different theories that pundits have provided for why Trump won. And the list isn’t even complete. I’ve heard other explanations as well. What does it tell you when there are 24 different explanations for a thing?

It tells you that someone just dropped a cognitive dissonance cluster bomb on the public. Heads exploded. Cognitive dissonance set in. Weird theories came out. This is the cleanest and clearest example of cognitive dissonance you will ever see. Remember it.

This phenomenon is why a year ago I told you I was putting so much emphasis on PREDICTING the outcome of the election using the Master Persuader Filter. I told you it would be easy to fit any theory to the facts AFTER the result. And sure enough, we can fit lots of theories to the facts. At least 24 of them by CNN’s count.

Generally speaking, the greater the persuasion, the more cognitive dissonance you get. Trump is – in my opinion – the greatest persuader of my lifetime. I expected this level of cognitive dissonance. Next time you see a persuader of this magnitude, you can expect the outcome to be cognitive dissonance in that case too.

This brings me to the anti-Trump protests. The protesters look as though they are protesting Trump, but they are not. They are locked in an imaginary world and battling their own hallucinations of the future. Here’s the setup that triggered them.

1. They believe they are smart and well-informed.

2. Their good judgement told them Trump is OBVIOUSLY the next Hitler, or something similarly bad.

3. Half of the voters of the United States – including a lot of smart people – voted Trump into office anyway.

Those “facts” can’t be reconciled in the minds of the anti-Trumpers. Mentally, something has to give. That’s where cognitive dissonance comes in.

There are two ways for an anti-Trumper to interpret that reality. One option is to accept that if half the public doesn’t see Trump as a dangerous monster, perhaps he isn’t. But that would conflict with a person’s self-image as being smart and well-informed in the first place. When you violate a person’s self-image, it triggers cognitive dissonance to explain-away the discrepancy.

So how do you explain-away Trump’s election if you think you are smart and you think you are well-informed and you think Trump is OBVIOUSLY a monster?

You solve for that incongruity by hallucinating – literally – that Trump supporters KNOW Trump is a monster and they PREFER the monster. In this hallucination, the KKK is not a nutty fringe group but rather a symbol of how all Trump supporters must feel. (They don’t. Not even close.)

In a rational world it would be obvious that Trump supporters include lots of brilliant and well-informed people. That fact – as obvious as it would seem – is invisible to the folks who can’t even imagine a world in which their powers of perception could be so wrong. To reconcile their world, they have to imagine all Trump supporters as defective in some moral or cognitive way, or both.

As I often tell you, we all live in our own movies inside our heads. Humans did not evolve with the capability to understand their reality because it was not important to survival. Any illusion that keeps us alive long enough to procreate is good enough.

That’s why the protestors live in a movie in which they are fighting against a monster called Trump and you live in a movie where you got the president you wanted for the changes you prefer. Same planet, different realities.

You might enjoy reading my book because you like movies.

And you might love my startup’s new app for geostreaming your location to a friend as you approach your meeting spot. Here are links:

WhenHub app for Apple: http://apple.co/2eLL3Oh

WhenHub app for Android: http://bit.ly/2fIb6L7

via Scott Adams’ Blog
The Cognitive Dissonance Cluster Bomb

The fundamentals of photography as told by the US Navy in 1948

The fundamentals of photography as told by the US Navy in 1948

the_basic_camera

The principles of photography really haven’t changed all that much since its early beginnings. The technology has come a long way, the recording mediums have evolved, but the fundamental principles are still the same. You still need a light tight box (your camera body), something to project light from your scene to the inside of the box (a lens), something on which to record it (film or a sensor) and a way to control the exposure (shutter).

In this 1948 training film from the US Navy, we learn about the history of photography as it stood at that time. We take a look at the original camera obscura and how it evolved into the bleeding edge technology of mid 20th century. That technology may be a far cry from where it is today, but some things never change.

Generally speaking, the process for making photographs has gotten much easier over the years, although the basic anatomy hasn’t really changed. Whether you’re shooting DSLR, mirrorless or even a cellphone, it’s still basically the same. The shutters in some cases might’ve moved from physical to electronic, but it’s still there.

camera_anatomy

But, technology moves on. Cameras are now typically much smaller than their historical counterparts. They have advanced electronics built in with doohickies you can hook up to them for specific purposes. Flash triggers, optical and audible camera triggers, GPS, WiFi grips and dongles, and all kinds of gadgets are available today. You can even use Arduinos and tablets to control them remotely and automate tasks.

The workflow after taking the shot is a lot less messy, too. We don’t need to worry about the expiration date of film or paper or whether our chemicals are still active. No longer do we need to deal with the chemicals. Although, I would argue that I spend far more time at the computer after a shoot now than I ever did in the darkroom with film. That time aspect is one of the reasons I still shoot film for some projects.

Even if you’re not planning to shoot any film, it’s a fascinating look at the technology as it stood 70 or so years ago.

Did you spot any cameras in the video that you own? Or have used? Still use? What technological camera advancements have you loved the most? Which advancements in camera technology do you feel have been a step backward? What camera technology could you not live without today? Let us know, and tell us your thoughts in the comments.

[via Reddit]

via DIYPhotography.net – Photography and Studio Lighting – Do It Yourself
The fundamentals of photography as told by the US Navy in 1948

Valerian (Teaser)

Valerian (Teaser)

Link

Luc Besson’s latest sci-fi film Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets looks like a futurist’s wet dream, with eye-popping visuals, and a lighthearted, but action-packed world which brings back memories of his classic The Fifth Element. We can only hope it’s as much fun.

via The Awesomer
Valerian (Teaser)

Three Simple Things That Can Keep Trump Out Of The White House

trump

Americans woke to the stunning news yesterday morning that Republican Donald Trump had defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton to be the 45th President of the United States.

The surprising outcome of the election is not sitting well in many major cities, where marches and riots have broken out.

A day after Donald Trump’s election to the presidency, campaign divisions appeared to widen as many thousands of demonstrators — some with signs with messages declaring “NOT MY PRESIDENT” — flooded streets across the country to protest his surprise triumph.

From New England to heartland cities like Kansas City and along the West Coast, demonstrators bore flags and effigies of the president-elect, disrupting traffic and declaring that they refused to accept Trump’s victory.

Flames lit up the night sky in California cities Wednesday as thousands of protesters burned a giant papier-mache Trump head in Los Angeles and started fires in Oakland intersections.

Los Angeles demonstrators also beat a Trump piñata and sprayed the Los Angeles Times building and news vans with anti-Trump profanity. One protester outside LA City Hall read a sign that simply said “this is very bad.”

Videos from some of the different protests around the nation are illustrative.

There is paplable anger in the streets of major cities, along with rioting, arson, and chants of “Not my President.”

Some, like the woman below of questionable citizen status, are calling for violence because she didn’t like the outcome of free and relatively fair elections.

“If we don’t fight, who is going to fight for us? People had to die for your freedom where we’re at today. We can’t just do rallies, we have to fight back. There will be casualties on both sides. There will be, because people have to die to make a change in this world. Trump, enough with your racism. Stop splitting families. Don’t split my family.”

Calls to assassinate President-Elect Trump have blanketed social media, where pro-Hillary progressives almost seem to be a some sort of virtue-signaling contest to see who can have the most dramatic meltdowns.

A grasp of basic civics seems to be common among many of the protestors.

I have good news for these anti-Trump protestors. There are three simple things you can do to keep Donald Trump from becoming the President of the United States.

screen-shot-2016-11-10-at-8-16-46-am

1. Nominate a candidate for whom people will want to vote.

Presidential elections, more than any other kind of election, are driven by inspiration. The candidates who win Presidential elections inspire people, as Ronald Reagan did in 1980 and 1984, and Barack Obama did in 2008 and 2012.

When many voters feel that the nominee was selected by people within the upper reaches of party because it was “her turn,” and that the nomination was rigged by the party to exclude worthwhile challengers, it turns off voters.

Likewise, voters tend to prefer candidates who are good public speakers, who have energy, and aren’t under at least five known current federal investigations for influence peddling.

screen-shot-2016-11-10-at-8-16-58-am

2. Ensure that you motivate people to go to the polls on election day.

Directly tied in with “nominate a good candidate” is “inspire the people.” You have to give them a message that reasonates, that makes them beleive that your candidate has vision and focus and a plan for success. You also have to convince voters that it is vital for people to actually show up on election day and cast their ballots, which Mrs. Clinton simply did not do.

Mrs. Clinton’s candidacy was one defined by an attitude of “I deserve this,” and “my political enemies are unworthy.” Neither sentiment inspired people, despite overt media cheerleading for the campaign.

screen-shot-2016-11-10-at-8-17-45-am

3. Vote.

In the end, it all comes down to voting. We vote to elector a slate of electors (the electoral college), and the slate of electors are pledged to represent each state so that we avoid the tyranny of mob rule. We are a Republic, because the Founding Fathers were wise men, reasonably concerned that direct democracy invariably leads to an idiocracy.

We’re now seeing turnout data flowing in from across the country, and it clearly shows that people simply did not turn out to vote. Both Trump and Clinton had fewer popular votes than 2012 loser Mitt Romney, and of course far less than the winner of the 2012 contest, our current sitting President, Barack Obama. Like it or not, Trump is our President-Elect because he inspired some surprising segments of the populations—including female and minority voters that pollsters were so certain were going to vote for Hillary—and eked out (at least) 279 electoral college votes, while an uninspiring Clinton amassed just 228.

So there you have it:

  1. Nominate a candidate for whom people will want to vote.
  2. Ensure that you motivate people to go to the polls on election day.
  3. Vote

Do that, and you can avoid Donald Trump becoming your President… in the 2020 Presidential election.

The fact remains that he  is going to be your President for four years starting on January 20, 2017, and unless you are un-American enough that you’re going to start an insurrection because you didn’t like the outcome of a free and fair election, that’s simply the way things are going to be.

The post Three Simple Things That Can Keep Trump Out Of The White House appeared first on Bearing Arms.

via Bearing Arms
Three Simple Things That Can Keep Trump Out Of The White House